TL;DR

Risk analysis is an important starting point for creating a successful test plan. Risk Storming Is a great example. Here we give a story about two-variable risk analysis that nobody anticipated.

This story is about the risks to my health, we all have COVID-19 virus threat. Croatia is now in the first month after the first case. Government measures are changing daily. The plan is simple, keep the physical distance. I am fully aware of the threat, and my stand is that I could get it from anybody withing contact distance. My plan is to stay at home with two weeks of supplies and keep going to shopping to a minimum. The decision was made about my mother (80). I did not bring her to live with me in Zagreb because Zagreb has the most considerable risk. She stayed in my hometown, a population of 3000. She is in good health (her daily routine was everyday 10k walk). The latest measure is that all inter-city travel is kept to only required. Which makes my hometown even safer. Except for this.

This Sunday, at 6.24 am, Zagreb and my hometown were hit with a second risk variable, an earthquake of 5.6 magnitudes. Earth is still shaking, even now while I am writing this post. When I become aware of what hit us, it was over. I did not do any earthquake countermeasures. I dressed and went out. Then I come back for warmer clothes because it was freezing outside. You do not want to get sick these days.  For me, the only trouble was the power outage of 30 minutes. But the old town was hit much harder. One girl lost her life.

What I learned.

I store my laptops under the table to prevent small pieces from falling on them. I now know the shaking threshold when I should go under the table. I do not have an exact amount, just a feeling learned by example. When shaking is done, close gas and go outside in warm clothes. Do not panic and wait for a one-hour keeping 2-meter distance.

Keep a distance from other people when you are outside. I have a stock for two weeks, no more! Exercise, I do three 25 minute sessions distributed along the day.

Two variable risks (at the same time) are not highly likely. When those risks happen, you can learn from them a make a plan on how to behave in possible next event.